![]() ![]() ![]() That’s like everybody’s darts landing six feet north of the target. They were biased -they usually thought attitudes had shifted more than they really had, or they even got the direction of change wrong. Not just randomly bad, like a bunch of people throwing darts at a board and most of them missing the bullseye. In another paper, I asked people to estimate how public opinion had shifted over time on a bunch of different issues, and they were really bad at it. This drives me nuts, because people are often wrong about how the present differs from the past. “Used to be you could trust a man’s word,” “Back in the day, you didn’t have to lock your doors at night,” “People don’t care for one another anymore,” etc. For my whole life, I’ve listened to people bemoan the demise of human goodness.
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